According to the results of the first day of Euro 2024, a draw between Italy and Spain on Thursday could be enough for the Azzurri to advance in the group and reach the finals. It is impossible to have mathematical certainty after only one game and with so many variables still at play (considering the other groups), but we can get an idea from the last two European Championships. All of the first and second-placed teams from each of the six groups, as well as the four best third-placed teams, will advance to Euro 2024, as they did in 2016 and 2020. That is why, with four - or even three - points, they could secure a spot in the round of 16. For example, all of the repechages in the last two tournaments had only 3 or 4 points, and Portugal won the final against France eight years ago.
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