Schools that are at risk of disappearing and classrooms that are becoming increasingly vacant: the school system in Italy is being significantly affected by the demographic decline. The 2024-2025 school year witnesses a staggering decrease of 50,000 pupils in the first year of high school in comparison to the previous year, a statistic that underscores a concerning trend. According to Il Messaggero, the school system loses over 130,000 kids each year. For the 2024–2025 school year, 562,733 students are enrolled in their first year of high school. However, only 511,244 students completed middle school and enrolled in high school—a deficit of about 51,500. This tendency represents a larger demographic fall, which was previously visible in earlier years. A peak of 130,000 fewer pupils than the previous year was observed in 2023. At the regional level, certain places are hit harder than others. In Sardinia, 2024 has been an annus horribilis: pre-registrations for the new school year show 5,419 fewer students compared to September 2023, bringing the total school population to 176,839. Since 2018, the region has lost over 25,000 students. Similarly, in Brescia and its province, student numbers dropped from 151,797 in the 2021–2022 school year to 148,101 in 2023–2024. If the current demographic trend continues, the next 10 years will see a total loss of 1.5 million pupils. The loss will be most significant in high schools, which may lose almost 500,000 students, followed by middle schools (-300,000) and elementary schools (-400.000). Even preschools will face a drastic reduction, with over 156,000 fewer children expected to enroll.
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