The introduction of new U.S. duties on goods imported from Italy is likely to have significant repercussions on the entire national economy, affecting not only exporting companies but also Italian families. According to the Unimpresa Study Center, the increase in tariffs could push inflation between 0.3% and 0.5% annually, translating into higher spending for households, estimated at between 2.5 and 4.2 billion euros per year. This would translate into an aggravation of up to 160 euros per household per year. Italian exporting companies, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), will suffer the most: the U.S. market, which in 2024 recorded 68 billion euros in Italian exports, could shrink between 5.6 billion euros and 8 billion euros in 2025, with an estimated drop in GDP of between 0.28% and 0.4%. SMEs, which account for 60% of Italian companies exporting to the U.S., are likely to absorb up to 70% of the total losses, worth between 3.9 and 5.6 billion euros.
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